Everyone’s Making Election Predictions

So… I suppose I should contribute.
I went to the House Professor’s Tea last week featuring American Studies Professor Glenn Altschuler. In between not being able to decide if he thought Burns (MT) or Allen (VA) was more “stupid” or “dumb,” he did throw out some surprisingly practical election predictions. He thinks the Dems will take the House and the Reps will keep the Senate. Obviously, I hope that the Reps keep both, but I think we will be doing good to keep the Senate and prevent a veto-proof Dem majority in the House.

Now, for my predictions on the big races:

Wyoming (the most important, obviously): all this talk about tied polls in the house race makes me a little nervous, but I think Cubin (R) will pull it out over Trauner (D). As for the governor, I have no idea. Not being in Wyoming right now pretty much gives me nothing to go off of. Instinct would tell me that Freudenthal (D) will pull through because he is an incumbant and the Hunkins campaign did nothing this summer. But, there is also the chance that Republicans actually vote Republican straight down the ticket. In that case, Hunkins could sweep. Thomas will win the Senate, there’s really not even a question about that. I’m also fairly positive Maxfield, Meyer, and Meyer will win Sec. of State, Treasury, and Auditor respectively.

From here out I’ll go in the same order as Ian at HotAir.

MD: Steele (R) over Cardin (D); CT: Lieberman (I) over Lamont (D); PA: Bob Casey (D) over Rick Santorum (R); VA: Allen (R) over Webb(D); TN: Corker (R) over Ford, Jr. (D); MT: Toss-up; MO: Toss-up; NJ: Menendez (D) over Kean, Jr. (R);
I actually think I agree with all of his picks with the exception that MT is a toss-up. I know the polls are going for Tester, but MT is still a red state at heart and I can’t really see them going too blue… but who really knows? I’m also leaning toward Talent taking MO, but I agree that it’s too close to call. As long as Wyoming stays red, the whole world can go blue for all I care. I took out the OH and MI predictions because I haven’t followed those races at all.

Locally in the upstate New York area, I’m pulling for Ray Meier (R) to beat Michael Acuri (D) for a house seat. I obviously have somewhat of a vested interest, having spent 5 hours campaigning for him on Sunday morning (being yelled at by the leading Catholic church and the leading protestant one - priceless). It’s supposed to be a really close race and it would be amazing for that to go Republican and pro-life!

Now I need to get back to work. Tomorrow night I’ll be election partying it up in the Cook House dining room with my libby House Dean and fellow politically oriented housemates. As long as Cubin wins, I won’t have to leave crying.

p.s. Ann Coulter’s column from last week is brilliant as always.

As millions of lunatic Muslims plot to murder Americans, some Americans — we call them “Soccer Moms” — will cast a vote to save Michael J. Fox this year. In the process, they will put all Americans at risk by voting for a frivolous, dying party.

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5 Responses to “Everyone’s Making Election Predictions”


  1. 1

    Montana goes (R). I don’t approve of the other guy’s haircut.

  2. 2

    I cannot make predictions like these — my heart just won’t let my mouth say that any Dem will win. I’m sure you will be happy to be wrong on your Santorum prediction.

  3. 3

    Good to hear that Wyomingites keep up with Wyoming when out of state. Some of us Wyo GOPers are still real Republicans, no matter what the opinion polls say about a Freudenthal landslide victory.

    Like wytammic, I can’t bring myself to predict a victory for the Dems. I still wonder what Pelosi’s plan is for the “first 100 hours” if they don’t take back the House.

    Then again, Heaven forbid it happen, I wonder if Trauner would really not vote for Pelosi (even stand up to her) if he were elected as WY’s lone voice in the House.

    I don’t like Tester’s haircut either, but then again, Burns did use an actor in at least one of his commercials…. :-D
    Well, I must go and be a mobile billboard again for Mr. Hunkins and Rep. Cubin.

  4. 4

    Ouch. It hurts to lose :(

  5. 5

    More than I thought it would :(

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